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These articles describe the statistical probabilities of long positions on these equities, based on neural net projections, for the next 5-15 trading days. These are not holy grail methodologies, the road to easy street, or anything else. These projections are the result of screening for technically significant retracement and momentum patterns that have been further screened for value and bullish sector performance. In other words, the projections are for long positions.
For 01/14/2009:
------------------$INDU----------$SPX---------$COMPQ
Monthly Momentum--Negative(OS)---Negative(OS)-Negative(OS)
Weekly Momentum---Negative-------Negative-----Negative
Daily Momentum----Negative-------Negative(OS)-Negative
(OS) means oversold and (OB) means overbought. The value to price estimate (it is not a guarantee, only a cash flow based estimate) can be defined loosely as a multiplier of price. A number higher than one means the stock is undervalued using this model and a number less than one means the stock is overvalued.
Index and ETF I-shares Bullish Reversals (Note: to look up quotes for the Dow Indexes (starting with DJ or DW, add a dollar sign. No dollar sign is required for the ETFs beginning with other letters.) Today’s list includes only those ETFs with a 50-day moving average of daily volume greater than 100,000 shares.
LAG
U.S. equity markets retreated en masse as news of Steve Jobs leave of absence and poor retail sales numbers. There was only one stock that hit the reversals list (VFR) but the nets were not impressed with the pattern.
------Value/Price est.----7 day ATR---%( 7 day ATR)/Close
Note (O): optionable
*Beta greater than 1.5, Volume greater than 1 million shares on a 50-day simple moving average volume basis.
Nothing today.
The major indexes seem once again ready to break down, perhaps even to new lows if the current bear market lows are broken. All we can do currently is to be patient and wait for things to shake out. Biotechs still seem strong, but overall negative breadth may swamp even these stocks.
Take care,
DBB
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I believe you are probably the best out of the literal hundreds of traders that I have witnessed.
